Friday 15th May 2024

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Just a place on the free tips yesterday.

We will stick with Rendlesham Racing for tips in 5 races.

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Today’s Free Tips come from Rendlesham Racing

 

Prices correct at the time of sending this morning

14:15 at York KLONDIKE @ 4/1 generally, 1pt win
This is a race that Haggas and Marquand have a very good recent record in having won 2 of the last 3 runnings (both wins were with 4yr olds) and I think Klondike (4/1 at time of writing) may well be the group horse masquerading in a handicap here. He won on debut at Newbury last season by a head against horses with racing experience (the other 2 newcomers were well back in 5th and PU) and he was upped into listed company a month later. He finished a very good 2nd behind Gregory in that listed race at Goodwood and as we know, that form has been well boosted as Gregory went on to win the Queen’s Vase (group 2) and finish 5th in the St Leger (group 1). He bettered that run when finishing 4th in the Bahrain Trophy (group 3) at Newmarket, beaten less than 3L by Castle Way. That piece of form again looks strong with the winner finishing 2nd in the Great Voltigeur (group 2) and the runner up was 4th in the St Leger and is now a group 2 winner. Admittedly Klondike was well below that form when last seen finishing last of 7 in the Geoffrey Freer Stakes (group 3) at Newbury, seemingly not seeing out the extended 1m5f.
The obvious question mark is how fit this colt is given he’s been off the track for 270 days but he won on debut last season, the Haggas team are more than capable of getting one ready on seasonal reappearance and it’s worth noting that Haggas’s last 2 winners in this race were both making their seasonal reappearances. This is undoubtedly easier than the listed and group races he faced last season as he’s dropping into a handicap for the first time, although his mark of 104 isn’t a generous one, it does seem fair and judged on RPR’s, it should be within range. The team obviously see him as a group horse having been thrown into pattern company at just his second racecourse appearance last season and even this season he holds an entry into the Hardwicke (group 2) at Royal Ascot so I just think he could well be a class above this field. The trips fine, he’s been freshened up with a break (has undergone wind surgery), seems versatile ground wise having won on soft and run well on good to firm and his full brother, Kemari, got better with age so I think there’s better things to come from this colt this season.
 
 
14:45 at York CHAIRMANOFTHEBOARD @ 10/1 generally, 0.5pts ew (6 places)
In these types of big field handicaps I often like to look for an improving potentially well handicapped 4 or 5 year old but interestingly the last 3 runnings of this race have been won by 8yr olds from mid to high draws. One that fits the bill perfectly judged by those recent runnings is Charmanoftheboard (12/1 at time of writing). This 8yr old gelding doesn’t have the most standout of strike rates, just 4-43 in his career) but he’s thoroughly consistent and has been knocking on the door of late. He was winless last season but put in some noticeable performances like finishing 2nd of 21 runners in the Howden Handicap at Newmarket, 2nd in the Scottish Stewards Cup and beaten just half a length in a 0-90 handicap at Newmarket at the end of last season. He’s once again been going close this season, including when cruelly denied in the last few strides (beaten a neck) in the Duty Free Handicap at Newbury a couple of starts back. He again ran a cracker 11 days ago to finish 3rd of 15 runners in a heritage handicap at Newmarket, only beaten a little over a length by a well handicapped 4yr old in a race that has been dominated by 4 and 5 year olds.
He comes into today on the back of back to back good runs in defeat where he’s just found an unexposed younger rival too good on the day (in both races), so it clearly shows that this gelding is in great heart and still as good as ever despite being an 8yr old now. Surprisingly for a top handicapper, this is only his third visit to this track but the last time he was here was over this CD in a class 2 0-100 handicap in which he was 2nd and beaten just a short head so he does handle this track. He has gone up 1lb for those last two good efforts in defeat but it still leaves him 4lb below his last winning mark and lower than for all of his good efforts last season so he’s well enough handicapped to get his head in front. Any easing in the ground will suit him. track and trip are fine, he’s well handicapped, well drawn and he’s just a very likable trier who is sure to be bang there at the finish.
 
15:15 at York SWINGALONG @ 17/2 generally, 0.5pts ew (4 places)
I must admit when looking at this race I was very surprised to see Azure Blue as the favourite given Michael Dods’s horses have all been needing a run and she was rather disappointing when last seen. I really like Karl Burke’s filly, Swingalong (15/2 at time of writing), in this contest. She’s 3-11 in her career and ended last season with some real eyecatching efforts in top company. After finishing a very good 3rd to Shaquille (beaten 2L) in the Commonwealth Cup at Ascot, she came out and won the Summer Stakes by a neck back against her own sex before being given a short break. After that 58 day break she ended the season with an excellent 4th in the Sprint Cup (group 1) at Haydock when beaten a little over a length having raced solo up the near side of the track and followed that up with a massive run to finish 4th of 15 runners in the Champions Sprint Stakes at Ascot.

She returns to the track today having been off for 207 days so there’s the question of how fit will she be but she finished a good 3rd (beaten 2L) on seasonal reappearance last season and Karl Burke’s team are always pretty ready first time up for a new season so I’m not worried about that. Interestingly she seemed set to retire at the end of last season and eventually become a mum but those plans were scrapped after those two excellent efforts in group 1’s last September/October and the owner seemed very keen to give her another season and get a group 1 win with her so clearly the team are confident. Importantly she loves it here at York as she’s an unbeaten 2-2 here, winning the Lowther (group 2) and the Summer Stakes (group 3) both over today’s CD. Her wins have come on good and good to soft ground so any rain around won’t be a problem as long as it doesn’t get testing. Conditions should suit, she loves it here, reportedly wintered very well and looks better than ever and she gets a handy 3lb from the males; she ticks plenty of boxes and I’ll be disappointed were she not to be bang there at the finish.

 
16:15 at York THURSDAY’S CHILD @ 16/1 generally, 0.5pts ew (4 places)
There’s plenty of big named owners and trainers with runners in this but I thought Thursday’s Child (14/1 at time of writing) was massively overpriced for a horse that’s 2-2 and shown plenty of potential. This filly only made her debut back in March in a fillies maiden on the all-weather at Newcastle over 7f and caused a big upset as she won by a neck at a huge 66/1, doing best of those that raced prominently. That form looks solid as the runner up has won since and is now rated 82 and the 3rd had already had a run (had finished 2nd) so had an experience edge. This filly stepped up massively on that effort to win a fillies novice at Pontefract over 6f, winning by a little under 3L having cruised to the lead a furlong out and easing clear impressively.

She moves into a handicap today having been given a mark of just 84 which I thought could well be lenient. She recorded an RPR of 90 in her last run, 20lb better than she achieved in her previous start and there’s likely to be more to come from her as she’s only had 2 starts. Looking at her pedigree, her dam only raced as a 3yr old and improved throughout the whole season, winning 3 times over 1m to 1m2f on decent ground and the grand-dam is Sweet Lily, who was 6-32 on turf in her career and was a listed/group performer. She has a very likable pedigree that suggests decent ground will suit her (which just upgrades her win on soft last time out) and she’s bred to be relatively smart. Today’s step up to 7f will suit, the ground should be fine, she’s not put a foot wrong as of yet and her pedigree suggests she should keep improving this season; if this filly was from a bigger named yard I think she’d be a lot shorter in the betting.

 
17:20 at York THUNDERING @ 14/1 generally, 0.5pts ew (5 places)
Another wide open big field handicap to close the card and unlike the 14:45 big field handicap, this one has been dominated by 4 and 5 year olds that are drawn mid to high. I thought one that looks far too big a price if able to bounce back to form is Kevin Ryan’s runner, Thundering (14/1 at time of writing). This gelding had a very good 2022 season which included finishing 2nd of 16 runners over this CD in the Skybet Handicap on Nunthorpe day. Things didn’t quite pan out for him last season though as he was well beaten in some decent handicaps, including twice here at York, but he showed that the ability was still there when winning a 0-100 handicap at Ayr over 1m2f in September. He was well beaten again on seasonal reappearance 23 days ago at Pontefract when never getting involved from the rear on ground that was pretty testing. I think a line can be put through that as he probably needed the run but also the form has actually worked out well with the 3rd and 4th have both won next time out.
I think he’ll strip much fitter with that run under his belt and as I’ve already pointed out, the form has worked out well. Admittedly he was poor most of last season but we know he’s capable on his day after that Ayr win and he’s now dropped back to that same mark that he defied that day. The step up back to 1m4f is certainly no negative despite his last win being over 1m2f as his very best form has come over this trip back in 2022. Although he was well beaten in his last two visits here, he went very close over CD a couple of years ago so he does handle this track. He’s versatile ground wise, handles this track, gets the trip, back on his last winning mark and Sam James has a 50% strike rate on turf when riding horses aged 4+ for this yard in the last 5yrs; I thought he could go well.
 

Kind Regards

Rendlesham Racing

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In Form Tipster (August)

 

 

In Form Tipster (August):
Cotswold Racing

Key stats:

Points profit:
ROI %:

32.00
30.00%

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Quick stat – ROI

Cotswold:
Apollo:
Lombard:
Matrix:
Match Day:
9.66
10.29%
6.07%
8.22%
15.50%

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Quick stat – Monthly profit

Cotswold:
Apollo:
Lombard:
Matrix:
Match Day:
£4
£48
£19
£54
N/A

To £10 stakes

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