SUN CHARIOT STAKES PREVIEW – ARCHITECT TIPS
Time of writing – Thursday Evening
The Marco Botti trained filly is a proper solid Group two/three performer and she has some smart wins to her name, notably when impressive last time out at Sandown in a Group three over the 1m trip. There is no getting away that she won in great style and her form figures under Atzeni reads an impressive – 14141. However, Aljazzi has never won beyond Group three level and surely that has to be a worry coming into this contest. She will love the ground and trip but I feel as though she will be playing for a place at best because she looks vulnerable at this level.
DAWN OF HOPE
Two solid efforts the last twice but Atzeni deserts her here and her odds speak volumes. She was beaten fair and square by some of these in the Duke of Cambridgeshire and I can’t her finding the improvement to have a chance of winning this. She is passed over this time having never won above class 3 level.
Wiliam Haggas’s runner is such a consistent mare and her record at this track is phenomenal, 24731141. She is a triple Listed winner and her form stacks up well for this kind of race having chased home Decorated Knight in a Group one over at Meydan finishing a creditable half-a-length third of 12 runners. Connections have kept the faith her and she got her career back on track last week when a dominant winner over C&D. That was also her first start in four months and she is expected to show even further improvement now with race fitness assured. Joe Fanning is an eye-catching booking and I can see Muffri’ha having a great each-way chance at double-figure odds back at her favourite track.
John Gosden has always held her in high regard and she hardly ever runs a bad race. She’s reached the frame on her last three starts and the form of her latest second when half-a-length behind Aclaim has been boosted with the winner landing a Group one last weekend in France. However, she is another filly here who is yet to have won beyond Group three level and she will need a career-best performance to land this Group one prize, especially with the fact Frankie Dettori deserts her in favour of Persuasive the other John Gosden trainer runner and that is another reason she is passed over at this stronger level.
John Gosdens main hope here without a doubt and she is likely to start favourite. This grey filly was 5-5 unbeaten last year, including a smooth success at Group three level before only finding Alice Springs too good in the Group one Matron stakes at Leopardstown. She ran a brilliant race on her seasonal reappearance when a fine fifth in a Group one over at Deauville following a near 10-month absence before running well in the Matron stakes for the second consecutive year at Leopardstown when nearest at the finish to take third place conceding the front two 5lbs each. Persuasive is no doubt a high-class mare and despite her not winning a Group one just yet, this looks a very good opportunity for her to strike at the highest level under Frankie Dettori. I think she will take a lot of beating against weaker opposition.
A top class French filly who’s already won at the highest level over seven furlongs and has only been out of the top three twice in all career starts and both those have been her latest assignments. She’s the highest-rated filly in the line-up and she was given an awful lot to do last time out when a never-nearer fifth in the Matron stakes at Leopardstown. However, she has the beating of most of this field on previous meetings and is the most obvious runner to reach the frame at the very least. But, twice she’s finished behind Persuasive and the one time she finished in front of that filly was when Persuasive needed the run and she has work to do to reverse the form now with fitness assured for the John Gosden runner. Qemah however still has solid each-way claims and could well win this if the favourite some how fluffs her lines.
Siyoushake is an interesting runner for Freddy head and comes here on the back two solid placed efforts at the highest level. However, she is another yet to win a Group one and this will be her first attempt at 1m since finishing fourth in the race last year behind Alice Springs. On that form alone she has work to do against Persuasive and Qemah although she finished in front of both that pair two starts ago. Connections will no doubt had this race in mind for some time though and she can’t easily be dismissed at fairly generous odds since going close at this level already this season.
Spangled shown a decent level of form and won a Group three two starts ago but she has much more on her plate this time and I will be surprised if she is good enough to even finish in the frame. Also, her two efforts over 1m have been very poor.
Another smart French raider this time representing Andre Fabre who can get them ready for the big stage. She’s a former winner at the track in a Group two and has held her form well ever since. She got back on track last time out over 7f when sent off odds-on but she made hard work of that against modest opposition and she is another who has yet to convince at the top level. I actually think her form has been well below what she showed last year and she will do well to play a major part back at Group one company.
Aidan Obrien trainer horse who’s chased home Enable four times this year which included when finishing a creditable third in the Epsom Oaks. However, her form has been well below that since and her best form has come on much slower ground. She’s the stables second string on jockey bookings and I find it hard to see her being involved at any stage despite connections having a good record with there outsiders.
A lightly raced Godolphin owned filly, who has a terrific strike rate (3-6) and won a Listed event earlier in the season. She finished a creditable third in the Group one Falmouth stakes over C&D two starts ago but didn’t enjoy her trip to France last time out. I would put a line through that run and maybe she should be given another chance to write that performance all wrong. I think Arabian Hope will run well but I would be surprised to see her win this on the back of a very poor effort which clearly wasn’t her true running.
Roly Poly is the number one choice of Ryan Moore and trained by Aidan Obrien. She’s a tough filly who has twice won at Group one level this year under Ryan Moore over C&D and at Deauville. I thought she ran an exceptional race in the Matron stakes last time out in a bid to make it three consecutive Group one wins but I am sure she was used as a pacemaker for Winter. Roly Poly set a very strong gallop and was only beaten four lengths behind some of today’s rivals. She returns to her Newmarket, where she is 2-3 here and the quicker ground will massively be in her favour. Her form on ground no worse than good to firm reads an impressive – 11227211. There is no reason why she won’t close to making it a third success at the highest level this year.
Once again Roger Varian tries his filly against tough opposition but he clearly holds her in the highest regard. She’s been running well over seven furlongs but she does have more to find now trying 1m for the first time and not exactly proven at this level although Jamie Spencer is an eye-catching booking. I won’t be backing her but I would like to see how she runs at her first attempt at the distance.
Many chances here with the likes of Persuasive, Roly Poly and Qemah looking the most likely to fight out the finish but also I would underestimate Muffri’ha at her favourite course. I think it’s a race worth watching instead of punting for my liking, but good luck either way and I am sure we will see a great renewal.