This weekend plays host to a vast amount of top quality racing however for the purpose of this blog we will be focusing on the mammoth task of trying to solve who will win this year’s Cambridgeshire. A handicap run over 1m 1f at Newmarket, the race usually attracts a very large field due to the prize money on offer and with 35 runners set to start it is fair to say that this year is no different.
There is no point doing a run through of all the horses as quite frankly we would be here all day instead I am going to put up 4 horses who I believe have huge claims and I will give my reasoning below.
Leader Writer – H Spiller/Fran Berry
Leader Writer romped home at Ascot last time out and the further he went the better he got. A small rise in the weights looks lenient and although this is a better race he should have more improvement in him over this longer trip. Spiller hasn’t had him long and the way he has improved in his three runs for the yard would suggest they are still yet to see his absolute best. Fran Berry keeps the partnership intact and of the horses drawn low he makes the most appeal. Much will depend from a betting point of view with how Afaak runs in the consolation race.
Brorocco – A M Balding/David Probert
Brorocco won very easily at Newbury last weekend. That was an extremely hot handicap and the way he cleared away in the final furlong really impressed. An extra 4lb is by no means an issue and the fact he stays further than 1m 1f is a bonus. He is quite clearly in rude health and this sort of a race where he can get plenty of cover of a strong pace are ideal. A lot of the fancied horses are drawn high so his draw in stall 33 can also be seen as another bonus. The only negative is recent rain which is a big worry.
Greenside – H Candy/Harry Bentley
Greenside brings an interesting weights angle to this race. A form line through El Hayem really brings him into the equation here and he rates a lively outsider. Hailing from Henry Candy’s successful yard he has improved this season and we can forget his latest run as he had never had a chance after a slow start. My only issue regarding this horse is whether or not he will stay this extra furlong (especially on bad ground), I guess time will tell.
Thundering Blue – D Meniusier/Jim Crowley
Thundering Blue is the favourite in here and that tag is 100% deserved. His latest Sandown win was extremely impressive and I honestly think he still has more to give. A big field with a strong pace are his ideals and the turn of foot he possesses despite wandering is quite incredible. He’s proven over this trip, isn’t ground dependant and I struggle to see how he won’t finish in the first 5 at the very least. Jim Crowley understands how he needs to be ridden and it is key that he keeps the partnership.
Others worthy of a mention are Eddystone Rock who won at York two starts back and You’re Fired who returned to form last time out and will relish the extra furlong. He has an inexperienced 7lb claimer on board and that does worry me given the hustle and bustle of this race.
Time of writing 1:20pm – Friday 29th September
How we bet: Thundering Blue 0.5pts E/W 7-1 Skybet 8places
Brorocco 0.5pts E/W 12-1 Skybet 8places (ground dependant)
Leader Writer 0.5pts 16/1 E/W (dependant on how Afaak runs)