How does star tipster DG Tips make his selections
A truly remarkable amount of big winners and huge prices! So what’s his secret? He gives you an exclusive insight into how he goes about finding his winners! You don’t want to miss this! Take it away DG!
So what’s your secret?
It is a question I get asked time and time again and its one I’ve always struggled to answer because there are so many variables involved with horse racing as a sport. In truth I could spend a day answering this question and still have more areas to mention. There are quite simply too many factors to list down. Every race differs and every race has its own variables. What I have done instead is attempted to narrow it down to just my five main factors that I take into consideration with every race. This is just a brief list and I may expand on each point in future blogs.
First and foremost is The Jockey.
It is surprising to me the amount of people who totally dismiss jockey selection. For me it is becoming one of the most important factors to take into consideration when tipping a horse. I say becoming because this is an area I have perhaps treated with leniency in the past. We all make mistakes and this is an area I have made countless mistakes in over the past few years. Time and time again I have put up horses I fancy from a handicapping perspective despite the fact the jockey booked for the ride isn’t someone I would want on my side. You can probably already guess the answer, but I would say at least 8 times out of 10 the horse doesn’t put up the performance I felt it would do. It’s a horrifying statistic but it’s one that really does show just how important jockey selection can be.
Well handicapped horses.
These really are both a value tipsters dream and nightmare. Sometimes you call it right and your 20-1 tip flies home like a 6-4 favourite. Other times your 20-1 tip performs like their odds suggest. This is by far and away my favourite part of tipping. Delving into the form, assessing all the weights and finally coming to a conclusion about which horse you deem to be the best handicapped horse in the race. It’s a somewhat long process however, our results prove that it is worth it in the long run. Handicaps provide punters with the best value and it is well worth all the extra hard work when a big value tip comes in.
Ground is a huge factor when it comes to tipping. Royal Ascot this year was an absolute nightmare because we didn’t know if we were coming or going with the weather and the ground played havoc with my tipping all week. A lot of my fancies going into Royal Ascot had only performed on good ground and the issue I had was ultimately trying to decide which horses would go on the rain softened ground. You can research into pedigree and ground preferences, leg action and what not but is that really a platform to give a tip with any real confidence? Personally I like to see some solid form on the ground before I am going to tip any horse. With the more experienced horses you can usually decipher what ground preferences they have and factor that into the race they are pitched.
This is a massive factor when it comes to tipping AW racing. Don’t get me wrong I know it is a major factor with all horse racing however, the AW season is in full flight and it is an area I specialise in so it seems a good example to use. Some horses simply love the AW, Stuart William’s Realize is a prime example of an All Weather horse. Switch this horse to the turf and he just isn’t the same horse we see on the AW. Give him 7f’s around Lingfield and you won’t be far away from a winner. Certain tracks suit different types of horses and knowing which horses go at which tracks is vital when it comes to tipping. Distance is another crucial element to take into consideration when tipping; I love a horse stepping up trip. Speed really is everything when it comes to horse racing and if a horse is performing well over 6f’s but we know that they will stay further, we can suggest that when they do step up trip they are going to be very competitive. An added bonus is that you usually get a good price about a horse stepping up in trip; two examples this year have to be Saigon City who was performing well over a mile but was stepped markedly up in trip by his new connections. He has one prep run and then got the job done at a huge price by winning a big handicap at York over 2m. Wall of Fire is another, he was running respectably over 1m-1m 2f however they stepped him up in trip and suddenly they have a world class horse on their hands who has won his last two races with a scintillating final furlong burst.
I have left this one until the end because that is exactly where it comes into the equation. You can do all the research, have your tips written out and prepped however, if the price isn’t right then you need to leave it alone. Value is everything in the tipping game, whether you tip a horse up at 40-1 or side with an 8-11 shot it doesn’t matter as long as you deem that price to be good value. It is very easy to get side tracked by big prices or similarly staying clear of favourites but there really are only two questions to be asked at this point in the process. Is the horse your idea of a winner? (i.e. do they tick all the boxes) Does the price represent good value? If you answer yes to both then the horse has all the attributes to be given as a tip.
There are obviously a lot of other factors to take into consideration such as draw, pace and the trainer which seems to be quite a relevant factor given the recent news regarding the trainer Jim Best. As I stated at the start of the blog, this is just a brief summary and the reality is far more in depth. I do however hope that it has given you some insight into how we work and what we take into consideration when assessing a race.
Does it pay off?
Of course it does, just check out DG Tips results graphics from Day 1, and the last 6 months to date. You’d be mad not to try DG Tips out if you haven’t already. How about a free week? Or if you fancy a month you can join for just £7!